SFB Working Paper 2026-01 · Shadow Federal Reserve Board

A Companion Guide to Reducing
Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet

15 policy options across regulatory, supervisory, pricing, and operational levers — explained in detail with their mechanisms and estimated balance sheet effects.

$1.2–2.1TEst. Reduction Range
15Policy Options
$6.6TCurrent Balance Sheet
21%of GDP
March 2026Publication Date
This web-site provides a detailed explanation of the policy proposals presented in Anderson et al. (2026) .
Nothing here is an endorsement of any specific policy option; this is a menu of options.

Why Shrink the Balance Sheet?

This guide explains the 15 policy options from the Federal Reserve Board staff working paper(Anderson et al., 2026). Options are organised into two broad categories: those that reduce reserve demand within the banking system, and those that reduce non-reserve liabilities such as the Treasury General Account. Click any card to read the full analysis.

Reducing Equilibrium Reserve Demand

Option 01
Regulatory
Recognize Discount Window Capacity in the LCR

Allow pre-positioned discount window borrowing capacity (secured by non-HQLA collateral) to count toward the LCR, up to a cap of 20% of total HQLA.

$50–450B
Option 02
Regulatory
Recalibrate LCR Requirements During Stress Periods

Dynamically lower the minimum LCR threshold during stress to signal that liquidity buffers are meant to be drawn down, not hoarded to avoid supervisory scrutiny.

$50–200B
Option 03
Regulatory
Reform ILST Expectations to Recognize Discount Window Capacity

Allow banks to count discount window inflows in Internal Liquidity Stress Tests at overnight and 30-day horizons, not just 90-day and one-year scenarios.

$50–200B
Option 04
Regulatory
Revise Resolution Liquidity Requirements (RLEN)

Reform resolution plan guidance to assume extended, gradually declining discount window access post-resolution rather than cutting off access after only a few days.

$0–100B
Option 05
Regulatory
SLR Relief for Dealer Intermediation

Exempt Treasury securities from the Supplementary Leverage Ratio for bank holding companies and dealer affiliates to expand repo market absorption capacity.

Unquantified
Option 06
Supervisory
Equalize Supervisory Treatment of T-Bills and Reserves

Instruct examination teams to treat Treasury bills and reserve balances strictly on par in all supervisory liquidity stress exercises.

$25–50B
Option 07
Pricing
Conduct Policy with EFFR Above IORB

Shift from a floor system where EFFR clears below IORB to one where EFFR clears above, eliminating FBO arbitrage and reducing banks' incentive to park excess reserves.

$150–550B
Option 08
Pricing
Tiering Reserves

Replace the flat IORB rate with a tiered schedule that penalises excess reserves with a lower yield, incentivising reserve-rich banks to lend to constrained peers.

Unquantified
Option 09
Substitutes
Expand Access to the FIMA Repo Facility

Broaden FIMA repo eligibility to sovereign wealth funds, extend terms to 84 days, and raise counterparty limits to make Treasuries more liquid globally.

$25–200B
Option 10
Substitutes
Address FBO Reserve Demand via Swap Lines & Foreign Coordination

Coordinate with foreign regulators and commit publicly to the permanence of central bank swap lines, reducing FBOs' structural incentive to hoard reserves.

Unquantified
Option 11
Precautionary
Communication to Reduce SRP Stigma

Frame Standing Repo Operations explicitly as a routine liquidity tool; reinforce via supervisory guidance so regular SRP borrowing is seen as healthy treasury management.

Unquantified
Option 12
Precautionary
Sterilize TGA Fluctuations with T-Bills

Back TGA balances with Treasury bills to offset reserve swings caused by tax seasons and debt-limit episodes, reducing banks' precautionary buffer requirements.

$50–200B
Option 13
Precautionary
Implement a Liquidity Savings Mechanism for Fedwire

Upgrade Fedwire with an LSM that queues non-urgent payments and bilaterally nets offsetting flows, allowing banks to settle large volumes with fewer pre-loaded reserves.

$100–125B

Reducing Liabilities Outside the Banking System

$1.2TLower Bound (95% CI)
$1.64TMidpoint Estimate
$2.1TUpper Bound (95% CI)
16%Resulting BS / GDP
1MMonte Carlo Draws